8

Immatin Storm
2yo Filly · 8-12
Saint-Cloud · Prix Fast Fox Maiden Stakes · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength52%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -21.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |