4

Mack The Knife

2yo Colt · 9-2

Saint-Cloud · Prix Fast Fox Maiden Stakes · 5f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 18/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 12318/07C5C5 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13018/08C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Deauville?3rd3rd0
2026-07-18Dieppe?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -35.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20266th16/116%58%+0.43
18/08/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07