6
Cardinal Point
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 74
Saint-Cloud · Prix A Tempo Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-01-23 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-09 | Newcastle | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-01-02 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 04/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/01/2026 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 11% | -0.78 |
| 04/09/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |