2
Cassius
6yo Horse · 8-11
Saint-Cloud · Prix A Tempo Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 19th | 18th | +1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 23/06/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 18/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/05/2026 | 19th | 40/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |