3
Centrical
8yo Gelding · 8-11
Saint-Cloud · Prix A Tempo Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Evreux | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 27/11/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 19/01/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 04/02/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 24/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |