10
Brivido Moon
4yo Colt · 9-3
Saint-Cloud · Prix Hervine Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 30/11/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 42% | -0.21 |
| 05/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/08/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |