11

Good Memory

4yo Filly · 9-3

Saint-Cloud · Prix Hervine Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 21/08/2024 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12521/08C5C5 @ Le Mans 13/09/2024 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12413/09C5C5 @ Le Mans 28/09/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f152y Ver 12828/09C5C5 @ Machecoul 10/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f149y Hvy 12310/02C54 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 12810/0644 @ Chateaubriant 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 12921/0743 @ Deauville 11/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12411/083projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Deauville31st1st0
2026-07-21Chateaubriant42nd3rd1
2026-06-10Argentan410th11th1
2026-02-10Machecoul?6th8th2
2024-09-28Le Mans?10th12th2
2024-09-13Le Mans?11th13th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0810/0211/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/202410th33/10%0%0.00
13/09/202411th22/10%17%+0.17
28/09/202410th40/10%10%+0.10
10/02/20266th28/10%55%+0.55
10/06/202610th14/126%31%+0.04
21/07/20262nd10/147%93%+0.45
11/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18