1
Hakaste
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Saint-Cloud · Prix Hervine Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Deauville | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 85% | -0.04 |
| 18/12/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 29/01/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.19 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 24/08/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |