14

Sandon

4yo Filly · 8-6

Saint-Cloud · Prix Hervine Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#9

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Deauville 29/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12429/0133 @ Pornichet 18/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1204 @ Senonnes-Pouance 13/03/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Hvy 12913/0344 @ Angers 02/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f95y Gd 1273 @ ParisLongchamp 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 12424/0534 @ Craon 04/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1293 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f91y Gd 1183/0734 @ Chateaubriant 21/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 1233 @ Saint-Cloud 31/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12431/083projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Saint-Cloud38th8th0
2026-07-21Chateaubriant44th5th1
2026-07-03Clairefontaine36th6th0
2026-06-04Craon410th11th1
2026-05-24ParisLongchamp37th7th0
2026-05-02Angers415th16th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/012/053/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/20266th33/10%64%+0.64
18/02/20262nd50/10%83%+0.83
13/03/202616th14/126%0%-0.26
02/05/202615th28/10%0%0.00
24/05/20267th22/10%50%+0.50
04/06/202610th22/10%40%+0.40
03/07/20266th40/10%67%+0.67
21/07/20264th11/142%79%+0.36
31/08/20268th12/137%50%+0.13