4
Supermax
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Saint-Cloud · Prix Hervine Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#14
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-07-21 | Compiegne | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 06/06/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 28/06/2025 | 14th | 10/3 | 82% | 13% | -0.69 |
| 21/07/2025 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 10% | +0.05 |