5
The Last Foal
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Saint-Cloud · Prix Hervine Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-19 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 24/05/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |