7
Calla Fonda
4yo Filly · 9-6
Saint-Cloud · Prix Jouvence Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#12
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-09-16 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-08-07 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 9-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 05/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 20/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 07/08/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 69% | -0.16 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |