14

Danzica Girl

4yo Filly · 9-1

Saint-Cloud · Prix Jouvence Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#8

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 17/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12417/03C53 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1283 @ ParisLongchamp 16/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13216/043C0 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1164 @ ParisLongchamp 24/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12024/0543 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1243 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1282/0733 @ Clairefontaine 03/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1283 @ Dieppe 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 13224/083projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Dieppe35th5th0
2026-08-03Clairefontaine36th6th0
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp37th7th0
2026-06-09Compiegne32nd2nd0
2026-05-24ParisLongchamp41st2nd1
2026-05-12Chantilly?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0312/052/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20267th28/10%25%+0.25
31/03/202613th66/10%14%+0.14
16/04/202611th66/10%17%+0.17
12/05/20263rd50/10%87%+0.87
24/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
09/06/20262nd5/174%92%+0.19
02/07/20267th6/168%60%-0.08
03/08/20266th7/282%62%-0.20
24/08/20265th9/276%67%-0.10