5
Fornali
4yo Filly · 9-8
Saint-Cloud · Prix Jouvence Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 79% | +0.31 |
| 28/02/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 21/05/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |