9
Hot Cold
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Saint-Cloud · Prix Jouvence Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Argentan | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/12/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 07/02/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 09/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 19/05/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |