IvyArcIvyArc
15

Libyan Knight

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Saint-Cloud · Prix Jouvence Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#15

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 23/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12823/12C53 @ Deauville 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Std 130C5 @ Chantilly 13/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12513/02C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Sft 128C5 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f203y Sft 12811/04C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 128C5 @ Clairefontaine 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 1286/07C53 @ Clairefontaine 03/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 130C5 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12829/08C5projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Clairefontaine?7th9th−2
2026-08-03Clairefontaine312th12th0
2026-07-06Clairefontaine?3rd5th−2
2026-04-20Fontainebleau?7th9th−2
2026-04-11Fontainebleau?7th9th−2
2026-03-13Fontainebleau?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1213/036/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 14-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/12/20255th5/174%67%-0.07
23/01/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
13/02/20262nd9/488%91%+0.03
13/03/20266th4/179%38%-0.41
11/04/20267th11/142%40%-0.02
20/04/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
06/07/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
03/08/202612th17/255%15%-0.40
29/08/20267th11/271%33%-0.38