3
Neuf De Paques
4yo Filly · 9-10
Saint-Cloud · Prix Jouvence Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-30 | Dieppe | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-03-25 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 25/03/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 23/04/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 46% | -0.38 |