13
Nick Boutique
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Saint-Cloud · Prix Jouvence Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#10
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 19/05/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 7% | -0.45 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 02/07/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 24/08/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 9% | -0.72 |