14
Bavarois
3yo Gelding · 8-4
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Bosquet De La Felicite Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.22 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 15/06/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 07/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |