8

Jiveda

3yo Filly · 8-12

Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Bosquet De La Felicite Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

73%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 21/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12421/01C5C5 @ Marseille 04/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 124C5 @ Lyon La Soie 21/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12421/03C5C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Ver 120C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1178/05C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 06/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 117C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 22/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 11222/06C?C0 @ Vichy 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 125C0 @ Vichy 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12515/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-07-22Vichy?1st1st0
2026-06-22Lyon-Parilly?7th7th0
2026-06-06Lyon-Parilly?8th8th0
2026-05-08Lyon-Parilly?4th4th0
2026-04-13Lyon-Parilly?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0113/0422/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength66%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
04/03/20263rd50/10%78%+0.78
21/03/20266th33/10%55%+0.55
13/04/20265th33/10%67%+0.67
08/05/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
06/06/20268th9/153%36%-0.16
22/06/20267th28/10%0%0.00
22/07/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
15/08/20262nd8/158%89%+0.31