13

La Belle Otero

3yo Filly · 8-6

Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Bosquet De La Felicite Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 17/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Hvy 12817/01C5C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 127C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 01/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 1171/02C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 112C0 @ ParisLongchamp 26/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12026/04C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 15/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y GS 120C0 @ Vichy 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 11922/07C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 128C0 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 12529/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Clairefontaine?6th6th0
2026-08-07Clairefontaine?1st1st0
2026-07-22Vichy?4th4th0
2026-06-15ParisLongchamp?8th8th0
2026-04-26ParisLongchamp?9th9th0
2026-02-22Cagnes-sur-Mer?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0122/0222/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength20%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
27/01/20267th12/137%33%-0.04
01/02/202610th25/10%10%+0.10
22/02/20267th66/10%54%+0.54
26/04/20269th28/10%38%+0.38
15/06/20268th18/15%50%+0.45
22/07/20264th10/147%77%+0.30
07/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
29/08/20266th7/282%38%-0.44