11

Stir Crazy

3yo Gelding · 8-12

Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Bosquet De La Felicite Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#10

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12320/04C5C5 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1285/06C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1278/07C5C0 @ Dieppe 30/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 13030/07C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 13229/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Clairefontaine?4th4th0
2026-07-30Dieppe?2nd2nd0
2026-07-08Saint-Cloud?4th4th0
2026-06-05Compiegne?10th10th0
2026-04-20Fontainebleau?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/045/068/0730/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%

Delivery trend -11.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
05/06/202610th28/10%10%+0.10
08/07/20264th11/142%57%+0.15
30/07/20262nd11/271%93%+0.22
29/08/20264th7/282%63%-0.19