12
Bourbon Moon
3yo Filly · 8-12
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Jardin Du Piqueur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength28%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 24/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 01/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/05/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/06/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |