10
Good Bye Davier
3yo Colt · 8-13
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Jardin Du Piqueur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 04/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |