14
Lady Gatsby
3yo Filly · 8-11
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Jardin Du Piqueur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Evreux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Pau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Pau | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 12-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/12/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 02/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 13/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/02/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 03/09/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |