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8

Saint Monchik

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Jardin Du Piqueur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 19/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12819/02C5C5 @ Compiegne 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12820/05C5C5 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 12810/06C5C5 @ Dieppe 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1289/07C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12817/08C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan?1st1st0
2026-07-09Dieppe?4th4th0
2026-06-10Argentan?4th4th0
2026-05-20Compiegne?4th4th0
2026-02-19Chantilly?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0220/0510/069/0717/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%

Delivery trend -6.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/02/20268th20/10%22%+0.22
20/05/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
10/06/20264th10/147%77%+0.30
09/07/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
17/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11