5

Zoar

3yo Colt · 9-4

Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Jardin Du Piqueur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#10

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 02/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1282/12C52 @ Chantilly 02/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1252/042C5 @ Saint-Cloud 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12824/04C5C5 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1285/06C5C5 @ Compiegne 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12828/07C5C5 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12825/08C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville?3rd3rd0
2026-07-28Compiegne?5th5th0
2026-06-05Compiegne?3rd3rd0
2026-04-24Saint-Cloud?6th6th0
2026-04-02Chantilly25th5th0
2025-12-02Deauville?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/122/0424/045/0628/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/12/20255th20/10%73%+0.73
02/04/20265th40/10%33%+0.33
24/04/20266th10/147%38%-0.10
05/06/20263rd13/266%80%+0.14
28/07/20265th15/261%50%-0.11
25/08/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78