9

Neptune De Kacy

3yo Colt · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix De Biarritz - Attele · 1m 3f 122y

#12

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chatelaillon 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 029/07C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Chatelaillon?5th5th0
2026-06-20Agen4+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20265th22/10%43%+0.43