14
Nevidence Roc
3yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Biarritz - Attele · 1m 3f 122y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
53%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Toulouse | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Agen | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |