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12

Nezha Du Patural

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix De Biarritz - Attele · 1m 3f 122y

#6

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Agen 17/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 017/0166 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 08/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 08/026C0 @ Agen 03/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 03/03C?C0 @ Agen 22/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 022/03C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 23/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 023/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Beaumont-De-Lomagne?8th8th0
2026-03-22Agen?6th6th0
2026-03-03Agen?2nd2nd0
2026-02-08Bordeaux Le Bouscat65th6th−1
2026-01-17Agen64th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/018/023/0322/0323/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20264th16/116%70%+0.54
08/02/20265th10/147%60%+0.13
03/03/20262nd80/10%90%+0.90
22/03/20266th14/126%55%+0.28
23/08/20268th33/10%42%+0.42