5
Nuvola Baraka
3yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Biarritz - Attele · 1m 3f 122y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-02 | Agen | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +53.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |