7

Libertine De Freca

5yo Filly · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix De Mauvezin - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Angers 08/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 08/12C?6 @ Toulouse 26/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 026/0365 @ Toulouse 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 010/045C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 29/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 029/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/05C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 03/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Beaumont-De-Lomagne?5th5th0
2026-05-26Vincennes?9th9th0
2026-04-29Beaumont-De-Lomagne?6th6th0
2026-04-10Toulouse52nd4th2
2026-03-26Toulouse61st5th3
2026-01-30Toulouse52

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1226/0310/0429/0426/053/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength22%

Delivery trend -9.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
26/03/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
10/04/20262nd6/492%88%-0.05
29/04/20266th10/382%69%-0.14
26/05/20269th14/126%47%+0.20
03/09/20265th17/255%56%+0.00