7

Libertine De Freca
5yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Mauvezin - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | 6 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-30 | Toulouse | 5 | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 69% | -0.14 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |