8
Lockwood Efji
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Mauvezin - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#8
Rank
Odds
39/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | 5 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-02-09 | Agen | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-01-22 | Toulouse | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 09/01/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 15% | -0.48 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 09/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |