1
Lucky Des Gaudines
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Mauvezin - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#11
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 11.4 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 16th | 18th | −2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | 6 | −3 | ||
| 2025-10-15 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-29 | Craon | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/05/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 07/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 62% | +0.06 |
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 10/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 29/09/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.14 |
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 09/04/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |