5
Luz Des Charentes
5yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix De Mauvezin - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | 6 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Toulouse | 5 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2024 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 04/04/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/07/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 02/09/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 26/10/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 22/03/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |