15
Hakim Des Champs
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Hyeres | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Agen | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |