9
Hermence Dairpet
9yo Mare · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#13
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Toulouse | 6 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Agen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Toulouse | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/12/2024 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 08/02/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/03/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 31/05/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 22/01/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 03/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 17/05/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |