12
Ibanque Lebel
8yo Mare · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-23 | Argentan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 08/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 23/12/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.28 |
| 29/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |