1
Icare De La Basle
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#4
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Toulouse | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-31 | Agen | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-19 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 10-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2024 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 28/10/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 20/11/2024 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.28 |
| 09/01/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 19/02/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 18/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 31/05/2025 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 03/03/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 23% | -0.19 |
| 26/03/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |