16
Icare De Phyt's
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-27 | Hyeres | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-02-02 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 23/05/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 06/11/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 01/01/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/01/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |