5
Iconoclaste Erable
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#11
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-24 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Lisieux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-01-22 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-01-09 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2023-10-22 | Caen | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2023 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 16/06/2023 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2023 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 26/08/2023 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/01/2024 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/01/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 94% | +0.12 |
| 11/07/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 79% | -0.06 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 77% | -0.09 |