10
Ideal De Nganda
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength17%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint Galmier | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-15 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength95%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2024 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |
| 12/06/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/06/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 58% | -0.02 |
| 15/07/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 14/08/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |