3
Ideal Winner
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#16
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-28 | Toulouse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-04-29 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2023-12-19 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 0 | ||
| 2023-06-24 | Agen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2022 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 06/08/2022 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 13/08/2022 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 16/04/2023 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 24/06/2023 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 94% | +0.41 |
| 29/04/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/10/2024 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/12/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |