14
Ilcapitano Du Parc
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hyeres | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hyeres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-01 | Vincennes | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 01/10/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.27 |
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 01/01/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |