11
Ileslor Des Keches
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#10
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Chartres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Pornichet | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Chartres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-10 | Angers | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-25 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2023 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 21/04/2024 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/09/2024 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 70% | -0.24 |
| 25/03/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 10/04/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 01/06/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 77% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |