17
Iron D'espoir
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Hyeres | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 18/12/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 16/01/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 23/04/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |