18
Ixelle Bleue
8yo Mare · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 10/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 08/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.40 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |