4
Izio D'echal
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Grand Prix Baron D'ardeuil Aoc Buzet - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Pornichet | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 7 | 11th | 15th | −3 |
| 2025-08-14 | Pornichet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 94% | +0.18 |
| 29/07/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 79% | -0.06 |
| 26/02/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 04/05/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 27% | -0.55 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |