3
Night De Janeiro
3yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Roquepine - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Agen | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |