4

Nostarmagnac
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Roquepine - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
41%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -21.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |