4

Nostarmagnac

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix Roquepine - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

41%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Agen 03/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 03/03C?2 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 023/052C0 @ Agen 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 030/05C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 013/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Beaumont-De-Lomagne?2nd2nd0
2026-05-30Agen?1st1st0
2026-05-23Beaumont-De-Lomagne22nd2nd0
2026-03-03Agen?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0323/0530/0513/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%

Delivery trend -21.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
23/05/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
30/05/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
13/07/20262nd15/890%88%-0.03